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In the Aftermath of the Trade Deadline

The trade deadline this year was one of the most dull and anti-climatic in the last few years.  The biggest acquisition prior to the trade deadline was Cliff Lee, and that occurred several weeks ago.  The rest of the players traded are decent players, but I’d be surprised if they dramatically alter the divisions.

Sure, Dan Haren and Roy Oswalt are quality pitchers, but Haren is struggling and now on a team eight games behind the division leader.  Oswalt is not the pitcher of three years ago, and probably will help the Phillies’ rotation, but the Phllies seem destined to win the NL East despite their pitching woes.

Other than Lee, Oswalt and Haren.. a whole bunch of yawn.. minor trades.

Teams looted the terrible teams in the league: Pittsburgh (Javier Lopez, Octavio Dotel), Cleveland (Peralta, Wood, and Westbrook), Washington (Matt Capps), Kansas City (Rick Ankiel, Kyle Farnsworth, Scott Podsednik), Arizona (Edwin Jackson, Chad Qualls, Dan Haren), and Houston (Oswalt, Berkman).

The Dodgers and Angels strengthened their clubs, but have a large number of games to make up.  The Reds and Cardinals made few upgrades worth noting (Westbrook?).

Now that the only way to make a trade from this point on is via waivers, I still envision a Phllies-Yankees World Series.  Certainly the Rays and Rangers have a shot at a WS berth, but it always comes down to the ability to fend off the Red Sox and Yankees in the playoffs.

But momentum is a great thing and if a team can stay in contention and in the lead of a division through August, they can start to believe.  Some teams in this situation are the Rays, Braves, Reds, and Padres.  August is a very important month for these teams.

The Only Active Teams Before the Trade Deadline: Angels and Rangers

With the trade deadline approaching this Saturday, the only active teams in the recent month has been the Texas Rangers and L.A. Angels. Both teams are going in opposite directions, and all signs suggest that the Rangers will soundly hold off the Angels. They have opened up an eight game lead in the division, traded for one of the top pitchers (Cliff Lee) and best offensive catchers (Bengie Molina) in the game, absconded a healthy Vlad Guerrero in the off-season and are receiving offensive contributions from their entire lineup.

The Angels, on the other hand, are making moves, yet still reeling, and it may be too late. They picked up Alberto Callaspo to fill the void left by Brandon Wood’s inefficiency and Dan Haren to replace the loss of John Lackey. Haren already lost his first start and got knocked out of the game in the fifth inning, and is a shell of the pitcher he was the last two seasons with the Diamondbacks. The Angels already lost Kendry Morales in a post-game celebration, Chone Figgins to Seattle for more money, and John Lackey, who came home and defeated them on Tuesday evening. The Angels are mediocre on offense and the pitching has been average. Baseball and the change in momentum can be a fickle beast and many teams have rallied back in Augusts in the past, but the Rangers appear to be the team of destiny, every move turning to gold.

Texas Acquires Lee; Poised for the Playoffs

Cliff in the stretch IToday, three days before the All-Star break, the Rangers stepped up and traded for the services of Cliff Lee for the rest of the 2010 season and almost virtually solidified a playoff berth in the process. The Rangers are playing great baseball, and their only in-division competition, the Angels, have fallen into a slump, falling five and half games back of the Rangers. Now the Rangers have an elite top-of-the-rotation starter who has the potential to not only help them reach the playoffs, but advance forward. The Angels’ pitching has been mediocre, and now will be very challenged to overcome the division lead with Cliff Lee starting every five games.

This trade comes the day after La Bron James signed with the Miami Heat. Regardless of the possible loss of Cliff Lee to free agency next year, he will give the Texas Rangers a legitimate shot at a playoff berth since 1999. If the Rangers fail to make the playoffs, this trade will go down in history as one of the most expensive without results. Now, the Rangers have a legitimate shot versus any of the other teams in the American League in a short playoff series, though great starters have been beaten in important series.

You have to hand it to any team that is willing to bring in someone of such talent. We have seen other teams gamble like this in the past, including the Milwaukee Brewers who brought in C.C. Sabathia for a final stretch and a playoff run and the Los Angeles Angels, who acquired Mark Teixeira for the end of the season. In an era with the Yankees and the Red Sox signing whoever they want for any amount and the lack of a salary cap, teams are forced to shoot for the glory in a single season or two. For many teams, retaining top players after their free agency is difficult and expensive. The Tampa Bay Rays have little time left before they are in danger of losing key fixtures on their team to free agency at the end of this season.

The first major trade before the deadline happens with one of the best pitchers today.

Unusual Late Season Trades

I don’t recall in recent memory so many significant players being traded after the trade deadline.  The Dodgers (ho-hum) added Jim Thome and John Garland.  The Angels traded for Scott Kazmir.  The Rockies get Giambi and Contreras.  The White Sox Armando Rios.  What is going on in the world of baseball?

Dumping quality high-contract players seems to be the new thing.  You used to never be able to acquire these types of players this late in a season.  Other peoples’ disappointments are contending teams’ saviors?  It should be quite interesting to see if these late season additions pay off more than the earlier trades.  If these late trades work out, we might see a new trend in baseball.  Maybe the trade deadline might not be as significant anymore, if teams know that non-contenders will dump their high-priced assets.

Why Scott Kazmir is Worth the Gamble

It’s worth the gamble to pick up Scott Kazmir for the stretch run.  The one usual strength for the Angels was their starting pitching, and at the start of this season, it appeared they had the best in the league: John Lackey, Joe Saunders, Jeff Weaver, Ervin Santana, Kelvim Escobar, Nick Adenhart.  But what was projected on paper has not lived up to expectations.  They have been outpitched by the Texas Rangers.  It’s the Angels’ offense that has exploded and the pitching has been up and down, bullpen included.

Scott Kazmir has had a number of solid years prior to this year’s struggles.  His inning totals have never been significant, but his track history has shown he is a competent starter.  He may have won more games on Tampa Bay had his team been better offensively.  If he can pitch about six innings a game, he will win games with the way the Angels have been scoring.  It doesn’t hurt that he has beaten the Red Sox in Fenway two times this year, a wild card the Angels can use.  It appears the Angels will face the Red Sox again this year.  I wouldn’t be surprised if the Red Sox don’t pick up an extra bat with numbers against Kazmir.  The Red Sox loved Wakefield because of his devastating knuckleball versus the Yankees.

With John Lackey likely to leave at the end of the season, Kazmir is still under contract at a discount price.  John Lackey has awesome stuff when he’s not injured, but the last two years have limited him from being the true ace of the staff, and winning 20 games.  Scoiscia is no fool; he knows the importance of pitching in winning games, and a chance to land a pitcher with a solid track record is attractive in his eyes, especially with the loss of Escobar and Adenhart, and the inconsistency of Santana and Saunders.

Kazmir’s signing is not as flashy as the Holliday or the Cliff Lee trades.  But if Kazmir can contribute effectively, it will be interesting which of the three signings has the greatest impact in the postseason.  With a month to play, it seems unlikely these three teams will squander their leads.